Critical appraisal of machine learning prognostic models for acute pancreatitis: protocol for a systematic review.

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an acute inflammatory disorder that is common, costly, and is increasing in incidence worldwide with over 300,000 hospitalizations occurring yearly in the United States alone. As its course and outcomes vary widely, a critical knowledge gap in the field has been a lack of accurate prognostic tools to forecast AP patients' outcomes. Despite several published studies in the last three decades, the predictive performance of published prognostic models has been found to be suboptimal. Recently, non-regression machine learning models (ML) have garnered intense interest in medicine for their potential for better predictive performance. Each year, an increasing number of AP models are being published. However, their methodologic quality relating to transparent reporting and risk of bias in study design has never been systematically appraised. Therefore, through collaboration between a group of clinicians and data scientists with appropriate content expertise, we will perform a systematic review of papers published between January 2021 and December 2023 containing artificial intelligence prognostic models in AP. To systematically assess these studies, the authors will leverage the CHARMS checklist, PROBAST tool for risk of bias assessment, and the most current version of the TRIPOD-AI. (Research Registry ( http://www.reviewregistry1727 .).

Beyond the bias! Sex distribution in paediatric growth hormone deficiency reexamined.

OBJECTIVES: Various biases pertaining to stature account for a male sex predominance in growth hormone deficiency (GHD) cases diagnosed by endocrinology clinics. This manuscript will assess the sex distribution when biases are minimised. METHODS: Retrospective chart review was conducted on patients diagnosed with GHD between 3 and 16 years of age. The sex distribution of cases was ascertained according to: (1) peak GH (pGH) by groups; based on growth hormone provocative testing, (2) pituitary gland imaging results, and (3) isolated GHD (IGHD) versus multiple pituitary hormone deficiencies (MPHD). The relative frequency of each sex was compared according to these subgroups with significance evaluated at α = .05 level. RESULTS: Of the 5880 clinic referrals for short stature, there were 3709 boys (63%) and 2171 girls (37%). Of these, 20% of boys (n = 745) and 15.3% of girls (n = 332) underwent provocative testing for GHD. Of those tested, 39.2% of boys (n = 292) and 32.2% of girls (n = 107) were diagnosed with GHD, all p < .001. There was a male predominance in GHD cases based on pGH or GHD severity. Though not significant, girls were more likely than boys to have MPHD (p = .056), even across pGH groups (p = .06). Both boys and girls had a similar distribution of imaging abnormalities. CONCLUSION: Stratifying by sex, we found similar percentages of pituitary imaging abnormalities (including tumours) and the number of pituitary hormone deficiencies in boys and girls as the cause of GHD. For these classifications, we did not find the historically reported male sex predominance.

Associations of Demographic and Social Factors on Health-Related Quality-of-Life Changes Among Older Women With Breast or Gynecologic Cancer.

OBJECTIVES: To examine associations of sociodemographic factors and social limitations with health-related quality of life (HRQOL) from pre- to postdiagnosis in older female cancer survivors. SAMPLE & SETTING: 9,807 women aged 65 years or older with breast or gynecologic cancer from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare Health Outcomes Survey. METHODS & VARIABLES: Physical and mental HRQOL were assessed using the physical component summary (PCS) and mental component summary (MCS) of the Veterans RAND 12-Item Health Survey. Descriptive statistics and mixed-effects models for repeated measures were used. RESULTS: Social limitations were the only significant factor associated with changes in MCS scores. Race and ethnicity, rurality, and social interference were associated with significant decreases in PCS scores. IMPLICATIONS FOR NURSING: Nurses can assess mental and physical HRQOL after diagnosis and advocate for appropriate referrals. Oncology care should be tailored to cultural considerations, including race and ethnicity, rurality, and social support.

Comparing Multivisceral Resection with Tumor-only Resection of Liposarcoma Using the Win Ratio.

BACKGROUND: Multivisceral resection of retroperitoneal liposarcoma (LPS) is associated with increased morbidity and may not confer a survival benefit compared with tumor-only (TO) resection. We compared both approaches using a novel statistical method called the "win ratio" (WR). METHODS: Patients who underwent resection of LPS from 2004 to 2015 were identified from the National Cancer Database. Multivisceral resection was defined as removal of the primary site in addition to other organs. The WR was calculated based on a hierarchy of postoperative outcomes: 30-day and 90-day mortality, long-term survival, and severe complication. RESULTS: Among 958 patients (multivisceral 634, TO 324) who underwent resection, the median age was 63 years (interquartile range [IQR] 54-71) with a median follow-up of 51 months (IQR 30-86). There was no difference in the WR among patients who underwent TO versus multivisceral resection in the matched cohort (WR 0.82, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61-1.10). In patients aged 72-90 years, those who underwent multivisceral resection had 36% lower odds of winning compared with patients undergoing TO resection (WR 0.64, 95% CI 0.40-0.98). A subgroup analysis of patients classified as not having adjacent tumor involvement at the time of surgery revealed that those patients who underwent multivisceral resection had 33% lower odds of winning compared to TO resection (WR 0.67, 95% CI 0.45-0.99). CONCLUSIONS: Based on win-ratio assessments of a hierarchical composite endpoint, multivisceral resection in patients without adjacent tumor involvement may not confer improved outcomes. This method supports the rationale for less invasive resection of LPS in select patients, especially older patients.

Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma Outcomes in Solid Organ Transplant Recipients: A Matched Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Solid organ transplant recipients with cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (CSCC) have an increased risk of poor outcomes. However, a recent study demonstrated that immunosuppression is not an independent risk factor for these poor outcomes after controlling for primary tumor stage. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether transplant status is an independent risk factor for poor outcomes in CSCC. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A database of CSCCs treated at an academic center over 10 years was used to perform a retrospective cohort study comparing the risk of poor outcomes (local recurrence, regional and distant metastases, and disease-specific death) in solid organ transplant recipients and controls. Subjects were matched on age, tumor stage, sex, tumor site, and time to poor outcome. RESULTS: There were 316 tumors from 78 transplant patients and 316 tumors from 262 controls. On multivariate analysis, tumor stage and location on the head and neck were predictive of poor outcomes. There was no significant difference in the risk of poor outcomes in the transplant group versus the control group. CONCLUSION: Transplant status was not an independent risk factor for poor squamous cell carcinoma outcomes after controlling for stage, age, sex, site, and time to poor outcome.

Performance of Staging Systems for Non-Head and Neck Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The performance of staging systems in non-head and neck cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas has not been well established. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the performance of the American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th Edition and Brigham and Women's Hospital staging systems in non-head and neck squamous cell carcinomas. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Eligible tumors were identified and staged from an existing retrospective database. Cumulative incidence function curves of any poor outcome were generated. Distinctiveness, sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value, and concordance index were calculated. RESULTS: 1,042 primary tumors were included, with 38 resulting in any poor outcome and 16 in any major poor outcome. High-stage tumors represented 2.2% and 3.5% of tumors; these accounted for 10/38 of the poor outcomes (26.3%) and 8/16 of the major poor outcomes (50%). High-stage tumors predicted major poor outcomes with a sensitivity of 0.5 and specificity of 0.99 for the Brigham and Women's Hospital system, and a sensitivity of 0.5 and specificity of 0.97 for the American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition system. The concordance index for both was 0.74. CONCLUSION: Current staging systems can be used to predict poor outcomes in cutaneous squamous cell carcinomas off the head and neck.

Incident diabetes following acute pancreatitis in a multicenter prospective observational cohort.

Diabetes mellitus following an episode of acute pancreatitis (AP) is an increasingly discussed complication, but there are sparse prospective data on the incidence and risk factors. We evaluated data from a prospective, multicenter observational cohort study that enrolled adults hospitalized with AP between 2017 and 2021 and followed them for one year. Ninety-eight participants who completed 12-month follow-up were included in this analysis. Diabetes status was assessed using a combination of measured glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) at predetermined time intervals or physician diagnosis. In 68 participants without diabetes at enrollment, the cumulative incidence of new-onset diabetes was 4.4 % (n = 3) at 3 months and 10.3 % (n = 7) at 12 months. No differences were observed in demographic or pancreatitis-related characteristics between those who did versus did not develop diabetes, in part due to small sample size. In summary, new-onset diabetes was identified in approximately 10 % within one year after an episode of AP. Larger prospective studies are needed to further define the incidence, risk factors, and mechanisms of diabetes and pre-diabetes following AP. NCT03063398.

Structured training program on confocal laser endomicroscopy for pancreatic cystic lesions: a multicenter prospective study among early-career endosonographers (with video).

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Data on how to teach endosonographers needle-based confocal laser endomicroscopy (nCLE)-guided histologic diagnosis of pancreatic cystic lesions (PCLs) are limited. Hence, we developed and tested a structured educational program to train early-career endosonographers in nCLE-guided diagnosis of PCLs. METHODS: Twenty-one early-career nCLE-naïve endosonographers watched a teaching module outlining nCLE criteria for diagnosing PCLs. Participants then reviewed 80 high-yield nCLE videos, recorded diagnoses, and received expert feedback (phase 1). Observers were then randomized to a refresher feedback session or self-learning at 4 weeks. Eight weeks after training, participants independently assessed the same 80 nCLE videos without feedback and provided histologic predictions (phase 2). Diagnostic performance of nCLE to differentiate mucinous versus nonmucinous PCLs and to diagnose specific subtypes were analyzed using histopathology as the criterion standard. Learning curves were determined using cumulative sum analysis. RESULTS: Accuracy and diagnostic confidence for differentiating mucinous versus nonmucinous PCLs improved as endosonographers progressed through nCLE videos in phase 1 (P < .001). Similar trends were observed with the diagnosis of PCL subtypes. Most participants achieved competency interpreting nCLE, requiring a median of 38 assessments (range, 9-67). During phase 2, participants independently differentiated PCLs with high accuracy (89%), high confidence (83%), and substantial interobserver agreement (κ = .63). Accuracy for nCLE-guided PCL subtype diagnoses ranged from 82% to 96%. The learned nCLE skills did not deteriorate at 8 weeks and were not impacted by a refresher session. CONCLUSIONS: We developed a practical, effective, and durable educational intervention to train early-career endosonographers in nCLE-guided diagnosis of PCLs.